Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 106.664181 118.073486 129.681410 142.345740 155.744384 169.470157 184.565759
2024-12-15 88.394386 104.960664 122.506268 142.354709 164.069262 186.996153 212.926178
2024-12-22 76.231517 95.552222 116.644192 141.137773 168.566933 198.122992 232.167349
2024-12-29 68.729509 90.255057 114.362566 142.964159 175.593625 211.313005 253.032159
2025-01-05 63.015086 86.321055 113.024843 145.301376 182.707539 224.197445 273.210069
2025-01-12 56.265641 80.545427 109.023862 144.091401 185.363175 231.722668 287.080442
2025-01-19 49.520258 74.224320 103.905166 141.139337 185.627289 236.210774 297.232525
2025-01-26 47.223671 73.236023 105.042164 145.475844 194.300591 250.283724 318.292386
2025-02-02 44.608134 71.616303 105.226524 148.515561 201.327359 262.371953 337.022390
2025-02-09 40.326920 67.510876 102.057458 147.236790 203.008929 268.068085 348.223249
2025-02-16 36.466187 63.695341 99.032321 145.939267 204.504110 273.416586 358.915625
2025-02-23 33.936629 61.530918 97.997840 147.020819 208.810261 282.040541 373.419167
2025-03-02 31.305034 59.087536 96.517858 147.503101 212.394141 289.863050 387.091238
2025-03-09 29.094494 57.104024 95.543812 148.556290 216.638806 298.463391 401.700258
2025-03-16 26.227611 53.938213 92.803123 147.171955 217.715573 303.138154 411.549344
2025-03-23 24.688499 52.678082 92.602441 149.063557 222.888343 312.786140 427.373166
2025-03-30 23.427834 51.760524 92.816055 151.459181 228.675340 323.178582 444.105221
2025-04-06 21.162440 49.072454 90.396119 150.218130 229.720536 327.669396 453.643226
2025-04-13 18.582557 45.654043 86.760939 147.189048 228.341815 329.067181 459.343007
2025-04-20 18.228129 45.973270 88.580970 151.638431 236.707747 342.631432 479.961027
2025-04-27 17.546564 45.673454 89.451538 154.756492 243.326340 354.017979 497.929903
2025-05-04 15.800734 43.354695 87.198672 153.444837 244.056437 357.967739 506.719213
2025-05-11 14.189861 41.136039 84.992820 152.113837 244.695112 361.755297 515.275736